17-08-2020 by redazione
After the first 15 days after the reopening of the borders and the comings and goings of planes in Kenya, a first provisional calculation can be made on the pandemic: the warning from the Kenyan Ministry of Health that the cases of Covid-19 would increase for the time being has not been followed up, on the contrary the percentage of cases compared to swabs has gradually decreased.
Yesterday there were 271 cases in the country, compared to 3716 swabs, with an incidence well below 10%, which has always been considered the threshold of attention.
But as the African Centre for Disease Control has also reported, not only are fewer cases occurring in the continent, but above all, the "carnage" that the WHO proposed in April has never occurred. In short, the mortality rate in Africa remains very low, 1.9% and if its extremes were removed (the Maghreb nations and South Africa) it would be even lower, almost derisory compared to many other diseases.
Where the experts have been wrong in their predictions is still not understood, it's all a destroying the studies of others and never work in the field with mass tests for example.
Because in reality the tampons in Kenya are all targeted, and they go fishing in the most at-risk categories such as health workers, frontier workers and the elderly.
According to a report by the Kenya Medical Research Institute, only one in 23 citizens under 50 years of age found positive is symptomatic and in need of treatment, while one in 20 Kenyans already have antibodies to Covid-19.
One of the elements suggesting an error of assessment by WHO "pessimists" is that they expected that in Kenya, as in the rest of Africa, HIV and other chronic illnesses would be the number one candidates to collapse with the final blessing of the Coronavirus.
This was not the case, at least for HIV-positive people, also because some of the medicines with which many of them are being treated also seem to have positive effects on Covid-19, reducing its harmful effects.
And the same, according to continental experts, is happening with malaria.
It is already a credible explanation of why very little is dying with Covid-19 in Kenya and why measures such as curfews, bar closures or bans on drinking alcohol in public places are becoming increasingly useless in the collective interest.
There are two more weeks to convince ourselves that it is time to reopen the country, not least because we cannot know whether later on we will have to implement any other restrictions or what will happen in the Western Nations with which Kenya has trade relations. Without bothering tourism, a sector that is dear to us but which at the moment is decidedly taboo.
The number of deaths in Kenya has risen to 682 after 13 patients admitted to health...
Another 51 cases in Kenya in the last 24 hours bring the number of infections in the country to...
Kenya, like at least ten other African states, is also interested in using the "organic" treatment introduced by...
The Ministry of Tourism has finally finalized the official protocol for the reopening of...
Kenya recorded 1,216 new positive Covid-19 cases in the last 24 hours, with the country's total ...