Editorial

Tropical cyclone brought to Kenya by media and social bad faith

Why the Kenyan coast will be marginally affected by 'Hidaya'

05-05-2024 by Freddie del Curatolo

The media terrorists and social owls hunting for easy clicks and 'likes' and, as usual, trying to throw petrol on the fire where it is the water that has done the damage and claimed lives in Kenya, will probably make their umpteenth impression.
From the point of view of the humanitarian catastrophe, apart from the 219 official dead declared by the government so far, the 165,000 displaced and the 72 citizens who are still missing, the drama is made up of those who have lost everything and will find nothing again, in many cases not even the handkerchief of land where their hut stood.
But to add macabre attachment to a story that should instead open up purely humanitarian debates, there are those who predict a worsening of weather conditions, floods and subsequent tragedies, due to Cyclone Hidaya, which is hitting Tanzania.
Sorry to disappoint the catastrophists and news vultures, but cyclones have always been unable to reach inland Kenya and very unlikely to lap its coast, for the simple reason that the Equator is able to repel them, thanks to the so-called 'Coriolis force'.


It had happened with a much more powerful cyclone than the current one, Kenneth, which five years ago claimed dozens of victims and displaced thousands, devastating Comoros and Mozambique and exceptionally reaching southern Tanzania, with winds of 100 kmh and extinguishing before Zanzibar and Dar Es Salaam.
This time, in spite of the long Nino wave, at most large thunderstorms will reach the coast and possible river flooding will be the effect of the water falling to the north, certainly not the cyclone.
The Kenya Meteorological Department confirmed in a statement that Kenya will feel the effects of the cyclone, but only marginally.
"In fact, we will feel the effects at the margins of the tropical cyclone, but it will weaken to a depression. The eye of the cyclone will land about five degrees south of the equator or even below,' the MET said.
Phenomena that should not be underestimated, especially in a country that does not seem prepared for certain changes, so the government has asked fishermen not to go out to sea, people not to venture out into the waves for recreation and beach activities to close down (but we believe they have already been doing this on their own for a few weeks now...) and those who live not far from waterways to move to sheltered places.


The same department, as we do every time, reminds us of the well-known (to us, but it should be so for anyone who writes and passes judgement, unless they are in bad faith) laws of physics that cyclones cannot come so close to the equator, which we owe to the French scientist Gaspard-Gustave de Coriolis who in the early 19th century first theorised the so-called rotational force arising at the equator and, among its many repercussions and side effects, even peripheral ones that also affect water tables, agriculture, animal reproduction, has the particularity of keeping the most feared atmospheric phenomena, such as hurricanes and cyclones, away from Kenya.
So let us expect rain on the coast as well, while hopefully Kenyan meteorologists got it right yesterday, declaring that in the disaster-stricken areas, the situation will slowly ease from today. It will rain throughout May, as is only right and natural, but no headline disasters. Instead, it will be a case of reporting on the 'aftermath' of thousands of Kenyans, who have had no 'mud angels' and instead of hoping (Italian-style) for economic aid for reconstruction, will not even find the little or nothing they had.

TAGS: equatorecicloneTanzaniaalluvioni

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